Download Armed Peace: The Search for World Security by Josephine O’Connor Howe (eds.) PDF

By Josephine O’Connor Howe (eds.)

ISBN-10: 1349176370

ISBN-13: 9781349176373

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However improbable this contingency may seem - and so long as the Alliance keeps its nerve and keeps up its guard, sober judgement can only rate it very improbable indeed - it is a wholly legitimate goal of allied policy to make it as unattractive an option for the Soviet Union as possible. We are assuming, however, that prevention has failed. The doctrine req uires that, at the stage where NATO can no longer sustain a conventional defence successfully, governments agree to initiate nuclear war at tactical level, either to defeat the Warsaw Pact or force it to desist.

The second snag is financial. 6 per cent for 1982. 5 per cent for The Economist plan; and a sanguine fifteen per cent for Dr Canby! There is nothing to be surprised at in these figures - the only surprise is that anyone should seriously think that figures of this kind lie within the realms of possibili ty. Of the proposals relating to improved tactical methods, the most convincing are those that involve greater reliance upon obstacles or fortifications. These feature in the thinking of Griffith and Kaufmann, but their most persuasive advocate is John Keegan, also from the Department of War Studies at Sandhurst.

So in 1972 a treaty was signed which limited anti-ballistic missiles to 200 apiece. It was further reduced to a 100 ceiling in 1974. The United States mothballed its system, while the USSR never went beyond 64 ABMs and is now down to 32. This was an easy success, but a success nonetheless. The question that was not asked, and probably could not have been asked given the politics of the exercise, was whether there was any more that needed to be done to secure the basic objective of arms control - to stabilise the strategic balance.

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